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Electoral Vote Predictor

For jaka_talbot, I put some good news up for the Kerry camp.

Electoral-vote.com has an up-to-date picture of where the electoral votes for the Presidency stand. They also have previous days' results. Since yesterday, Kerry's pulled to a 40 vote lead, getting 273 (270 are needed to win) from yesterday's 2 point deficit (swinging PA's 21 votes in his favor). They use polls in each state to determine which way it goes. You can hover over a state to find out the poll numbers and the source poll.

IA and CO are barely Kerry (by 4% and 1%, respectively), so if you know any liberals or anti-Bush people who aren't planning to vote, get them to register and get an absentee ballot. MN is weak Kerry (by 6%). NV and (duh) FL are ties.


( 3 comments — Leave a comment )
(Deleted comment)
Sep. 11th, 2004 08:35 pm (UTC)
They cite the source poll for each state including the date of the poll.

Yes, the EC is a terrible system, but it's the one we're stuck with.

States will probably not want to go with splitting their electoral votes because it effectively makes the state worth less. If TX, a Bush-cinched state, split up its 34 votes, and Kerry got only 5, Instead of Bush getting 34 votes, he effectively gets only 24. The "Battleground States," where the popular vote is very close, really like the attention they get in these election years. It's good for PR and tourism. It's free advertising and pork-barrel politics, that sort of thing. Bush will probably spearhead a move to help the hurricane victims in FL, not because he's a humanitarian, but because he wants those fogey-votes.

Current Music: Queen - Battle Theme from Flash Gordon
Sep. 13th, 2004 11:59 am (UTC)
Go Kerry!

I was so surprised that no one made a bigger stink last election, about doing away with the EC. I know the subject came up, but there just wasn't enough popular interest in changing it.
Sep. 13th, 2004 03:18 pm (UTC)
Yeah, well, none of the small states are going to give up their out-of-proportion votes, and the big states love the attention. <shrug>
( 3 comments — Leave a comment )

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